Wednesday, December 07, 2011

Siri may not have a long lead time

THe Apple 4S major roll out was a new voice activated service called Siri. If you remove Siri from the 4S you will see very little additional information mainly based on the faster processor and better camera. A lot of people have indicated that Siri will kill Google by bypassing the search engine. I expect Google to release a competitor for Android with the next major version release. Siri basically has a few main parts. 1) Speech recognition 2) An API access to a few key IOS application 3) A natural language search engine 4) A.I component that interprets the request. 5) A text to speech capability. So lets see what Google is not missing 1) Speech recognition Google chrome has had it for months. 2) An API access to applications, you know they have them. 5) Text to speech has been in the Android phone for quite a while. So that leaves them missing a natural language search engine. They are a search company primarily and they have extensive experience with translation software. I expect that a new meta language of Android API commands is being created to match a large number of queries and feed into that translation engine. There is little difference between translating English to French than English to API commands. Both required an understand of natural language and a model of a problem domain. So Google just needs to get a bunch of guys creating Android API scripts for all those features that are needed and then creating the English equivalent for their statistical engine to cross reference. this solves problems 3 & 4. Google has an advantage here unlike Apple that had to have a large number of people build create the mappings. Google already has the mappings and hundred of millions of users updating the knowledge base on an hourly basis. They can use their own search engine to provide the natural language learning with the results selection of the user. So unless Google is totally asleep at the wheel expect them to generate a Siri kill in less than a year.

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